Levant Watch
Aggregated OSINT from analysts, observers, and field reporting.
5 sources
Recent forwards
🇺🇸 The U.S. House has advanced a $70 billion immigration enforcement bill, moving it closer to President Trump’s desk after Senate approval. The measure would fund ICE and Border Patrol for the next three years, ending months of congressional gridlock over immigration enforcement funding. Republicans backed the bill unanimously, while Democrats opposed it following disputes over DHS operations and immigration policies.

‼️ “Commander of the Great Jihad” Meets a Greater Israeli Precision Strike An unusually intense wave of Israeli UAV strikes hit Ansariyeh in southern Lebanon today, with roughly 8 separate strikes reported. Hezbollah-affiliated sources later confirmed the elimination of Wissam Abu Riya, who held the rare title of “Commander of the Great Jihad.”

CONFIRMED: The US helicopter that went down over the Strait of Hormuz was (in fact) struck by an Iranian Shahed drone (we already know), according to Axios and The New York Times, citing a US official. A US Navy surface drone rescued the two crew members after they spent about two hours in the water near Oman. CENTCOM says both soldiers are in stable condition. President Donald Trump blamed Iran for the attack and said the US “must” respond. 💬 Mossad Commentary: As an Israeli, I endorse this message.


🎥 WATCH: IRGC Commander Ahmad Vahidi has reportedly drawn a red line for any U.S.-Iran deal: no agreement without immediate cash payments upon signing. Iranian officials believed they were close to unlocking $22–24 billion in frozen funds, but recent U.S. signals have reportedly dampened those expectations. For Tehran’s hardliners, no cash means no deal. @DBalazada @c14english
Iranian state-backed media outlets, specifically Fars, are denying reports that a revised Iranian proposal was sent to the United States. Citing Iranian officials, reports are also saying that previous reports on transferring Iranian enriched materials to other countries are false as well. Such back and forth contradictory rhetoric has long characterized the ongoing negotiations.

Multiple U.S. Air Force refueling tankers have been spotted over the Middle East as tensions with Iran continue to rise. The tanker movements are fueling speculation that Washington is positioning assets to support potential military operations or bolster regional deterrence amid ongoing threats from Tehran.
At least 8 U.S. Air Force KC-135R Stratotankers and KC-46A Pegasus are currently showing on Flightradar24 across the Middle East, with aerial-refueling tankers - likely accompanied by fighter and strike aircraft - up currently over Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, the Persian Gulf, and Gulf of Oman.

Wait until these comments hit the IRGC desk. It probably hit already, senior regime figures follow me. Waiting for a response. 💬 Open Source Intel: NOW: Asked whether the U.S. would help rebuild Iran after the war, President Trump replied: “Yeah.” “But we’ll get half their oil.”
Secretary Rubio (last week): "We have no problem with the athletes... But what we're not going to allow is for them to embed in their delegation a bunch of people that we know have nothing to do with athletics and have ties to the IRGC." 💬 Open Source Intel: FIFA withdrew Iran's World Cup ticket allocation, citing U.S. sanctions that block sales into the country. Iran's football federation says fans had already purchased tickets and traveled to the U.S. before the decision. - NYT
🚨 REPORT KAN NEWS: IRAN CLAIMS U.S. UNFROZE $3 BILLION IN ASSETS An Iranian news agency affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claims that the United States agreed to release $3 billion in Iranian assets in exchange for Iran halting its attacks on Israel. According to the report: • A flight carrying the assets reportedly traveled from Abu Dhabi to Tehran despite airspace restrictions. • The message was allegedly delivered through a Qatari delegation. • Iran claims Washington also guaranteed that Israel would restrain its operations in Lebanon. The report comes after a…
Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: The Strait of Hormuz is NOT international waters but shared between Iran and Oman, and located thousands of miles away from U.S. shores. Maritime boundaries are crystal clear. Our Powerful Armed Forces are on constant alert for any violation of Iran's airspace, land or waters. Foreign forces in proximity to our territory are at constant risk on account of their own human errors, plain accidents, or potentially being caught in crossfire. To reduce risk, the best solution is for foreign forces to exit, as soon as possible, an environment which will…
FYI: Under international maritime law, vessels and aircraft are entitled to pass through strategic waterways used for global navigation, even when those routes cross territorial waters. So he’s technically right, but he’s also very wrong. 💬 Open Source Intel: Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: The Strait of Hormuz is NOT international waters but shared between Iran and Oman, and located thousands of miles away from U.S. shores. Maritime boundaries are crystal clear. Our Powerful Armed Forces are on constant alert for any violation of Iran's airspace, land or waters. Foreign forces…
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